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Pre-release track records represent hypothetical testing for the period 1999 to 2007, preceding release of the Insider Futures (now including Currencies) services. They are believed to be accurate, but are not guaranteed. Current track records are also hypothetical because no one actually executed all trades in 54 markets. For this same reason, it is not practical to provide any form of maximum drawdown or advice on the amount of capital required. It depends entirely on which trades are taken in which markets. But the release of hypothetical daily equity streams for each market should provide some guidance in creating an optimum portfolio.
So what do you do with a market that works in period, say pre-release, but is profitable post-Release. This is the thing about trend-following models–performance varies over time. One interesting pattern is that there are very few markets that do not show a profit when pre- and post-release trades are combined.
There has been an awful lot written on portfolio analysis, and this is well beyond the scope of this release. One thing that is often missed, however, is that a market can make a valuable contribution to a portfolio without having a positive profit expectation. How? If a market’s equity cycle is out-of-synch with other markets–winning when they are losing, and losing when they are winning–it can have serve to smooth the equity curve, which should be a primary goal of portfolio balancing. There are many things to consider, you now have all the data necessary.
All trade orders can be entered ahead of time for stop entries and exits so initial hypothetical trade risk is known before the trade is entered. The daily newsletter provides an update on hypothetical open trade profit and open risk from daily close to stop-loss. Obviously there are occasions when slippage might occur or your order is not executed. This is part of the risk of trading. Futures and FOREX trading is risky and not suitable for everyone. You should consider the suitability before trading. You are responsible for your own actions.
* Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance that has certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. See the CFTC’s Fraud Advisory for trading systems sold on the internet, click: